Si on ne peut plus faire confiance à Forrester !

Il semblerait que Forrester ait manqué une occasion de se taire. En publiant une lettre ouverte à Mark Zuckerberg, son Vice President Nate Elliott a bel et bien obtenu l’effet escompté : il a attiré l’attention sur lui et sur cette étude qui conclut hâtivement à l’inefficacité des pubs dans Facebook pour les marketers. Les réponses ne se sont pas faites attendre, en particulier celle de VentureBeat. A lire !

FB Cover image

Il semblerait que Forrester ait manqué une occasion de se taire. En publiant une lettre ouverte à Mark Zuckerberg, son Vice President Nate Elliott a bel et bien obtenu l’effet escompté : il a attiré l’attention sur lui et sur une étude « Why Facebook is failing Marketers » qui conclut à l’inefficacité des pubs dans Facebook pour les marketers.

Bien sur, il s’agit d’une étude payante, alors on n’a pas vraiment pu la lire en détails. Mais on a suffisamment de matière dans la lettre ouverte de Nate Elliott pour juger et la méthode et des conclusions présentées par Forrester.

Les réactions ne se sont pas faites attendre. Hier un premier article publié sur TheNextWeb venait un peu nuancer le propos. Dans cet article, Shau Wasu, directeur de Circus Social à Singapour, soulignait déjà quelques points de faiblesse de l’étude de Forrester : en particulier la taille réduite de l’échantillon « 395 marketers and e-business executives at large companies in the U.S., Canada, and the U.K ».

« Torture numbers, and they’ll confess to anything »

— Greg Easterbrook

Mais le coup de grâce c’est cet autre article publié ce matin sur VentureBeat, qui pose pas mal de questions.

Alors pourquoi Forrester s’est-il contenté d’interviewer un échantillon aussi réduit ? Et surtout, pourquoi avoir interviewé des « executives » et s’être arrêté à leur perception plutôt que d’avoir interrogé les practitionners, celles et ceux qui font le job et qui gèrent opérationnellement les opés marketing et l’utilisation des budgets ? Pourquoi enfin avoir écrit cette lettre ouverte, en appelant nominativement Mark Zuckerberg à une réactions prompte et à une prise en compte, ceci à quelques jours de la date de publication des résultats financiers de Facebook ?

Toujours les mêmes questions. A qui profite le crime ?

Facebook Bashing

En outre, au delà des perceptions et de l’ambiance de Facebook Bashing qui commence à se généraliser (c’est visiblement de bon ton…) l’article de VentureBeat nous donne plusieurs chiffres concrets sur la progression de l’efficacité des Facebook Ads, et il y a de quoi faire rougir les analystes de chez Forrester.

On se délecte. Et perso j’attends avec impatience le prochain move du côté de Forrester. Ca risque d’être intéressant à observer ;)

When Facebook advertises the new Pages, in a Google ads style

Strike Anywhere and Facebook have created this video to advertise the new Facebook Pages for businesses that now adopt the Timeline, just like an ordinary profile.

Strike Anywhere and Facebook have created this video to advertise the new Facebook Pages for businesses that now adopt the Timeline, just like an ordinary profile.

Do you also think it looks like a Google TV ad? :)

Facebook Pages from Strike Anywhere on Vimeo.

(From SlideShare) Facebook goes public. What now?

(I’m nice, I share…) Here is one of the best content that I’ve seen lately about Facebook, and the fact that the social network is going public. It comes from Publicis Modem UK, it has been published on SlideShare, and I really recommend that you spend some time browsing through it’s content.

Here is one of the best content that I’ve seen lately about Facebook, and the fact that the social network is going public. It comes from Publicis Modem London, it is published on SlideShare, and I really recommend that you spend some time browsing through it’s content.

If I summarize: More than 85% of it’s revenue comes from advertising. Facebook is soon going public with a valuation of roughly $100bn. At first sight, you can think that this number is absolutely huge, and that it could hardly make multiples, which is basically the reason why investors would invest.

But then you realize that facebook in 2010 grabbed only a small 3% of the total digital market, when Google earned a comfortable 46%. The ARPU of a Google user is 8 times more than the ARPU for a Facebook user, so there’s room for a progression.

How can facebook increase it’s revenue? Either by adding more users, or by selling more ads, or by selling more performant and more expensive ads.

In some geographies, the Facebook penetration is approaching saturation. The growth in terms of users is slowing down, but the time spent and the stickyness is still growing, as you can see by checking the ratio of facebook DAU over MAU that keeps growing.

So, the other option is to push more ads to the users – we have seen lately a new picture viewer which now can display ads in the right column – and also to make better and more expensive ads, by better target profiling. This is where the new « Open Graph v2 » APIs comes to play, and will allow a never seen before highly accurate and fine user profiling by logging each and every of your so-called « frictionless activities ». What you read, what you listen to, the videos you’re watching, and so on and so forth, all your actions « online » – and not only while in Facebook, and now only in your browser, just think of your Spotify player on your iPhone… – will sculpt a very realistic portrait of you as a consumer.

This is a brilliant strategy to build a much better and finer ads system than the current Google AdWords leader. No doubt that the gap between the 3% and 46% of the digital pie between Facebook and Google from 2010 will soon become a figure of the past.

To be continued… :)

Oh, and make sure you don’t miss their 9 points in the « What If » section, starting at slide #52.

Ever though of the potential of these 9 ideas that Facebook could eventually implement someday? Can you feel that power?

Super Bowl 2012 ads: Toyota – The Reinvented Camry

Let’s start this series of posts about the Super Bowl ads with the one from Japanese car builder Toyota for the new Camry. The ad is quite funny, as it shows how things from your every day life could be if they were reinvented in the same way that the new Camry was reinvented and made more useful and innovative.

Let’s start this series of posts about the Super Bowl ads with the one from Japanese car builder Toyota for the new Camry. The ad is quite funny, as it shows how things from your every day life could be if they were reinvented in the same way that the new Camry was reinvented and made more useful and innovative.

So, what’s your prefered reinvention? The Police officer, the blender, the baby, the curtain, or the couch?
Maybe I’ll just go for the reinvented rain, since it’s certainly what I feel more painful in my every day life, and the was it way reinvented in this ad could make such a difference in our lifes ;)